High-volatility period: VIX > its five-year moving average
Low-volatility period: VIX < its five-year moving average
WhereVIX = implied volatility of S&P 500 options
▸ Use / trapUsed in historical scenario analysis (regimes: recession vs expansion, high vs low volatility). Sharpe ratio vs information ratio (R35) Feature Sharpe ratio Information ratio Numerator RP − RF RP − RB (active return) Denominator Total risk σP Active risk σA Adding cash / leverage Unchanged Changes (cash lowers IR) Scaling active weights — Unchanged Blending with benchmark — Unchanged Zero-beta fund, RF benchmark Equals IR Equals SR dth Active risk ber of independent bets/yr Given σA per year (quarterly = 4) Given σA per year (monthly = 12) σC × √BR Statistical ize) Portfolios from factor analysis / principal components es), not estimated Statistically derived — Factors hard to interpret ("mystery") Use Speculate or hedge a single factor Passive replication of benchmark ical simulation Monte Carlo past risk-factor changes Assumed distributions + correlations Any specified No es Handles average tail losses) Easy Page 55 of 59 VaR vs sensitivity vs scenario analysis (R38) Measure Gives VaR Probability of minimum loss Sensitivity Exposure to small change in one factor Scenario / stress Effect of simultaneous large changes Risk measures by organization type (R38) Organization Typical risk measures Banks Duration, FX exposure, leverage, sce Traditional asset managers Relative risk, ex ante tracking error, a Hedge funds Sensitivities, leverage, gross exposur DB pension funds Surplus at risk, asset-liability mismatc P&C insurers Investment-portfolio sensitivities, VaR Life insurers Sensitivities of assets and annuity liab Risk constraints (R38) Constraint What it does Risk budgeting Set total acceptable risk, allocate across units Position limits Cap exposure to security, asset class, country, currency Scenario limits Cap expected loss under a given scenario Stop-loss limits Reduce exposure when losses exceed amount over period Portfolio insurance Hedge with index puts as value falls Backtesting problems and fixes (R39) Problem Cause Survivorship bias Only firms existing today Look-ahead bias Data unavailable at decision date (reporting lag, restateme Data snooping Pick best of many tested models Historical simulation vs Monte Carlo simulation (R39) Feature Historical simulation Monte Carlo simulation Draws Random past returns (with From assumed multivariate replacement = bootstrapping) distribution Time order Ignored N/A Strength Uses actual data, simple Flexible: fat tails, skew, tail dependence Weakness Limited to what happened Complexity; model/estimation error ★ Exam signals & key rules — Portfolio Management 1. Value changes only when expectations change (cash flows, real rates, inflation, or risk premiums). 2. Inverted yield curve signals recession; upward slope as economy exits recession. 3. Credit spreads widen in downturns; narrowing spreads favour lower-rated bonds. 4. Choose the manager with the highest IR; set active risk via σA* = (IR/SRB)σB 1 by blending with the benchmark. 5. 'Constraints', 'long-only', 'cannot short' in a vignette → TC < 1, use full 1 fundamental law. 1 6. 'Correct X% of the time' → IC = 2(X) − 1; quarterly calls → BR = 4, monthly → 12. rbeiset.com · Mentored by Deepak Goyal — CFA, FRM · Noida Lacks Tail size, liquidity, correlation spikes Probability of changes Probability (except historical frequency) enario/stress tests, VaR, economic capital active share, scenario analysis re, stress tests, maximum drawdown tch, hedged vs unhedged exposure R, capital at risk, combined scenarios abilities, mismatch, surplus scenarios Remedy Point-in-time data ents) Point-in-time data or reporting-lag assumption Higher t-stat hurdle (≈3.0); cross-validation 7. Macro model: only surprises (actual − expected) matter; watch sign of sensitivity × surprise. 8. Active risk components add as variances: active risk² = active factor + active specific. 9. VaR is a minimum loss: 5% one-tailed → z = 1.65; scale mean by T and σ by √T. B 10. Need average loss beyond VaR → CVaR; change in VaR from weight change → IVaR / MVaR. 11. Portfolio with options → historical or Monte Carlo VaR, not parametric. 12. Backtest signals: 'stocks that exist today' = survivorship; 'restated/reported later' = look-ahead; 'tested many models' = data snooping. Page 56 of 59 09 Ethics & Professional Stan C FA L E V E L I I 2 0 2 7 · S U B J E C T 0 9 Study & reference sheet 6 tables 12 exam rules COMPARISON TABLES & FRAMEWORKS Code of Ethics — six components (Members and Candidates must:) # Component 1 Act with integrity, competence, diligence, and respect, and in an ethical manner the investment profession, and other participants in the global capital markets 2 Place the integrity of the investment profession and the interests of clients abov 3 Use reasonable care and exercise independent professional judgment when con investment actions, and engaging in other professional activities 4 Practice and encourage others to practice in a professional and ethical manner 5 Promote the integrity and viability of the global capital markets for the ultimate b 6 Maintain and improve their professional competence and strive to maintain and Standards of Professional Conduct I–VII Code Title Core req I Professionalism I(A) Knowledge of the Law Comply I(B) Independence and Objectivity No gifts I(C) Misrepresentation No know I(D) Misconduct No dish I(E) Competence Act with II Integrity of Capital Markets II(A) Material Nonpublic Information Do not a II(B) Market Manipulation No price III Duties to Clients III(A) Loyalty, Prudence, and Care Client in III(B) Fair Dealing Deal fair III(C) Suitability 1(a) inqu III(D) Performance Presentation Fair, acc III(E) Preservation of Confidentiality Keep cli IV Duties to Employers IV(A) Loyalty Act for e IV(B) Additional Compensation Arrangements Compet IV(C) Responsibilities of Supervisors Reasona V Investment Analysis, Recommendations, and Actions V(A) Diligence and Reasonable Basis (1) Dilige V(B) Communication with Clients and Prospective Clients Disclose vs opini V(C) Record Retention Maintain VI Conflicts of Interest VI(A) Avoid or Disclose Conflicts Avoid, o VI(B) Priority of Transactions Client an VI(C) Referral Fees Disclose VII Responsibilities as a CFA Institute Member or CFA Candidate VII(A) Conduct as Participants in CFA Institute Programs Do not c VII(B) Reference to CFA Institute, the CFA Designation, and the CFA Do not m Program rbeiset.com · Mentored by Deepak Goyal — CFA, FRM · Noida ndards er with the public, clients, prospective clients, employers, employees, colleagues in ve their own personal interests onducting investment analysis, making investment recommendations, taking r that will reflect credit on themselves and the profession benefit of society d improve the competence of other investment professionals equirement y with stricter of law or Code; dissociate from violations s/benefits that could compromise independence and objectivity wing misrepresentation; includes guarantees and plagiarism honesty, fraud, deceit or acts reflecting adversely h and maintain competence for professional responsibilities act or cause others to act on MNPI ce distortion or artificial volume to mislead nterests before employer's and own irly and objectively with all clients quire and update; 1(b) suitable vs written IPS; 1(c) total portfolio; 2 follow mandate curate, and complete performance information lient info confidential unless (1) illegal, (2) required by law, (3) client permits employer's benefit; don't divulge confidential info or harm employer ting compensation needs written consent from all parties nable efforts so supervisees comply with laws and Code gence, independence, thoroughness; (2) reasonable and adequate basis se (1) services and costs, (2) process, (3) risks/limitations; (4) key factors; (5) fact ion in records supporting analysis and communications or prominent plain-language full disclosure and employer trades before beneficial-owner trades se compensation received/paid for referrals compromise reputation/integrity of CFA Institute or programs misrepresent or exaggerate membership, designation, candidacy Page 57 of 59 Recommended procedures and key do / don't by standard Standard Do I(A) Track law changes; seek counsel/compliance; document dissociation I(B) Restricted list; pay own commercial travel; token gifts; preapprove IPO b I(C) List firm services; cite sources; keep records of materials used I(D) Firm code of ethics; list of violations/sanctions; check references I(E) Continuing education, designations, seminars, self-study II(A) Seek public dissemination; firewalls; watch, restricted, rumor lists II(B) — III(A) Quarterly itemized statements; best execution; vote proxies; use soft do client III(B) Limit pre-dissemination knowledge; simultaneous dissemination; written allocation; pro rata IPO III(C) Written IPS per client; review periodically; judge in total portfolio III(D) Follow GIPS; composites not single account; include terminated accoun III(E) Share only with authorized co-workers; secure electronic data IV(A) Get employer consent before independent practice IV(B) Immediate written report of proposed outside compensation IV(C) Adequate written compliance; investigate promptly; increase supervisio V(A) Written due-diligence guidance; scenario-test models; review third-part and external advisers V(B) Keep research records; disclose process changes promptly V(C) Retain records (7 years if no other rule) VI(A) Disclose stock ownership, compensation structure, board service VI(B) Limit IPO participation; restrict private placements; blackout periods; pr disclose policies VI(C) Disclose nature and value of referral benefits; quarterly updates to emp VII(A) Follow exam rules and Candidate Pledge VII(B) State facts (e.g., passed exams on first attempt) Additional compensation — disclosure rules (IV(B) professor's note) Situation Requirement One-time client gift for past Disclose to employer (not necessarily performance in writing) Client agreement for future Disclose in writing outperformance pay Side job potentially competing with Written permission required employer Unrelated side job No disclosure required Unsolicited trade requests (III(C)) Impact on total portfolio Action Minimal Discuss why unsuitable; follow firm policy; cli Material Update IPS, or separate client-directed accou Ethics case studies (R42) Case Standard Violation Syyark III(B) Fair Dealing Fills larger clients' orders from ow Syyark III(C) Suitability Blanket 3%; smallest clients used Syyark IV(B) Additional Compensation Mining without informing employe Syyark V(A) Diligence and Reasonable Research not thorough Basis Syyark VI(A) Avoid or Disclose Conflicts Recommends illiquid holding he o Agarway I(A) Knowledge of the Law Soliciting minors; collecting minor Agarway VI(A) Avoid or Disclose Conflicts Club gets preferential intelligence investments rbeiset.com · Mentored by Deepak Goyal — CFA, FRM · Noida Don't Rely on advice known to be illegal; no duty to report to regulators buys Accept gifts that compromise objectivity; issuer-paid research with contingent pay Guarantee returns; plagiarize (recognized statistical services need no citation) Use PCP to settle personal disputes — (CE recommended, not required) Act on MNPI (mosaic theory with nonmaterial info is OK) Trade to create false activity; spread false rumors ollars for Churn accounts; direct brokerage for firm benefit en trade Favour select clients; take hot IPO shares personally Blanket allocations; trade outside mandate nts; disclose Present simulated results as actual; cherry-pick accounts Disclose client info (OK if illegal activity, required by law, or permitted) Solicit clients or take records before leaving Accept competing compensation without written consent on Accept supervision with inadequate procedures (decline in writing) rty research Recommend without reasonable and adequate basis Omit risks/limitations; blur fact and opinion Take former employer's records Hide conflicts or bury them in fine print reclearance; Front-run clients ployer Accept undisclosed referral fees Reveal exam topics, questions, formulas or weightings Imply superior performance; 'partial' designation; use CFA after dues lapse ient acknowledges unt per firm policy; else reconsider relationship Required action wn account Fill all orders pro rata or none from own account d as 'guinea pigs' Assess each client's goals and constraints yer Disclose and obtain written permission first Document research, value drivers, suitable clients owns; late disclosure Disclose to clients and employer up front ors' data Ensure applicant complies with all laws e; competing personal Disclose to all investors Page 58 of 59 ★ Exam signals & key rules — Ethics & Professional Standard 1. Follow the stricter of applicable law and the Code and Standards. 2. On discovering a violation: approach supervisor/compliance, then dissociate; reporting to regulators not required by Standards. 3. Mosaic theory: public info + nonmaterial nonpublic info is permitted; analyst conference calls are not public disclosure. 4. Fair does not mean equal: different service levels OK if disclosed and available to all. 1 5. Client trades → employer trades → personal (beneficial-owner) trades; family accounts that are clients are treated as clients. 1 6. Gifts from clients: disclose; gifts contingent on future performance: written employer consent. 1 rbeiset.com · Mentored by Deepak Goyal — CFA, FRM · Noida ds 7. Supervisor with inadequate compliance procedures: decline supervisory responsibility in writing. 8. Leaving an employer: may prepare, but must not solicit clients or take t records/models before departure. 9. Issuer-paid research: flat fee only, not contingent on conclusions, with disclosure. 10. Significant change in investment process must be disclosed to clients promptly. 11. Records: firm property; 7-year minimum if no other rule; recreate from public sources at a new firm. 12. Never reveal exam topics, questions, formulas or weightings; do not link CFA designation to superior performance. Page 59 of 59